Rather, the more appropriate label we ought to attach to the result of the 2013 Punggol by-election should be: “a step closer to a two-party system”. Why? Three reasons: Firstly, ever since the capture of Aljunied Group Representation Constituency (GRC) from the People’s Action Party (PAP) in 2011, the WP has won every single election it has contested. Secondly it does not fall far behind the PAP in terms of the popular vote in contested areas. Thirdly, it has found itself a political enclave, with one GRC and two Single Member Constituencies (SMCs) geographically connected to one another in the northeast of Singapore. These are signs that the WP is gaining power at an increasing pace and may assume the role of an alternative government in a two-party state in a matter of decades. It is in light of this observation that we should begin to analyze the direction towards which Singapore politics is heading.
If we are indeed heading in the direction of a two party system, then three of the biggest impacts this would have on our political environment would be:
1. The ability to block of constitutional amendments introduced by the majority party
2. Increase in intensity of debate and political scrutiny
3. The high possibility of a change in government via general election
These are powerful responsibilities. However, based on its recent performance, does the Worker’s Party look like it can one day handle them?
The introduction of an additional Worker’s Party MP into parliament will do much to pressure the ruling government to meet the expectations of the people. However, the performance of the Worker’s Party has come into question time and again. This includes its lackluster performance in parliament (http://publichouse.sg/categories/politics/item/537-how-did-the-workers%E2%80%99-party-do-in-parliament) alongside questions over whether it can fill an executive role if it were to assume the reins of government one day, something which the party itself does not believe it is capable of doing. (http://www.asiaone.com/News/AsiaOne+News/Singapore/Story/A1Story20110324-269714.html)
There is some merit in the Worker’s Party increasing presence in parliament in terms of offering an alternative voice. However, is it fit to play a bigger role? Looking at its performance as well as the quality of its candidates, I do not think so. More importantly, the pace at which it is improving, if it is even improving at all, still falls short of the pace at which it has been gaining seats in parliament. If the party’s rate of improvement does not keep up with the speed at which it is gaining power, we will witness an opposition coming to assume a significant level of political responsibility but yet lacking the quality to fulfill it. This is a phenomenon that will have adverse effects on Singapore politics.
The larger the presence in parliament by any party, the higher the bar will be raised. If the Worker’s Party does not buck up, it deserves no more than what it already has.